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Submitted as: development and technical paper 11 Nov 2019
Submitted as: development and technical paper | 11 Nov 2019
Abstract. Many modelling groups that contribute to CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6) have found a larger equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) with their latest model versions compared to the values obtained with earlier versions for CMIP5. This is also the case for the EC-Earth model, and in this study we investigate what developments since the CMIP5 era could have caused the increase in the ECS in this model. Apart from increases in horizontal and vertical resolution, the EC-Earth model also has substantially changed the representation of aerosols, and in particular it has introduced a more sophisticated description of aerosol indirect effects. After testing the model with some of the recent updates switched off, we find that the ECS increase can be attributed to the more advanced treatment of aerosols, with the largest contribution coming from the effect of aerosols on cloud microphysics (cloud lifetime or second indirect effect). The increase in climate sensitivity is unrelated to model tuning as all experiments have been performed with the same tuning parameters and only the representation of the aerosol effects has been changing. These results cannot be easily generalised to other models as their CMIP5 and CMIP6 versions may differ in other aspects than the aerosol-cloud interaction, but the results highlights the strong sensitivity of ECS to the details of the aerosol forcing.
Global mean TAS and net TOA flux in CMIP5 piControl and abrupt4xCO2 experiments using EC-Earth model Shuting Yang https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3459914
Sensitivity experiments with EC-Earth3-Veg at low resolution Klaus Wyser https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3454079
CMIP6.CMIP.EC-Earth-Consortium.EC-Earth3-Veg.piControl EC-Earth Consortium (EC-Earth) https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4848
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